Thursday, December 3, 2009

Foles takes us past the Trojans



Sitting in the Collesium, 11 rows from the action, and surrounded by the fans of Troy, I began to sweat despite the 60 degree weather. In the third quarter the Cats only gained 8 yards of offense. Our defense seemed to be on the field for the entire second half. Our best defensive back, Trevin Wade, was sitting on the sidelines with an apparent injury and his replacement was being picked on repeatedly. Then USC threw to the end zone to their highly touted Tight End McCoy...off his finger tips and incomplete.

A Trojan fan sitting next to me leaned over and said, "That has been happening to us all year long." Her prediction for doom came true on the next play when the Trojans were penalized and forced to kick a field goal.

The Cats took over the ball in the 4th quarter for their final drive, just as they had done against Cal, Oregon, ASU and others this season. This time it was different, Foles was not going to let us suffer another heartbreaker.

On a 3rd down in the shadow of the Wildcats end zone, Foles stepped up to the line and screamed through the crowd noise for an audible. He had predicted correctly, the Trojan line came blazing downfield on a blitz. Foles used his height and waited till the last second and hit Antolin on a screen pass for a huge play. Two plays later another third down and Foles threw across his body to the middle of the field, a 100 MPH bullet for another first down. He then stepped up to the line again for another audible. He had noticed the single coverage on Criner and was going to throw it deep. He uncorked an absolutely perfect throw and Criner tipped toed to the end zone.

From my seats I couldn't see if he had made the catch or stayed in bounds. The crowd went deathly silent, the Arizona Section went nuts, the referee raised his arms and then I did as well standing in my section signaling touchdown for all the Trojans around me.

What a tremendous game. What a performance by Foles. The amount of huge throws that he made in that game (almost always on a 3rd and long) make you really think he has a chance at one of those Heisman trophies I saw sitting in USC's Heritage Hall.

Uofa and "the Streak"

After watching the game last night (and reading Greg Hansen) I am more concerned with the streak. It doesn't look like we are going to gather in a key non-conference games which means that we are going to need to finish in the top 4 (maybe top 3) of the Pac-10. Do we really think this young team (full of talent they may be) can do that? It was disconcerting how in crunch time they just wait for Nic Wise to do something. This can change throughout the season and perhaps one of the freshmen will step up (Derek Williams is looking great) but things are looking perilous at the moment.

Wednesday, December 2, 2009

Tiger Woods Autobiography is titled __________


I was driving to work this morning and listening to Steve Czaban's show. Since the fall from grace of Tiger Woods (the worlds first $1 billion athlete) he was asking listeners to come up with an appropriate title for Tiger's autobiography. It occurred to me that the avid readers of the ASD could come up with something better than I heard on his show. So let me be the first to pitch in. Here is my proposed title:

"Tight" "Lies".

Can you do better? Let's hear from you.

Sunday, November 29, 2009

UofA v. ASU 2009: A Lucky Bounce, Finally




In a season of catastrophic late game collapses and unlucky plays, the Cats finally got a bounce to go their way when ASU's only offensive threat inexplicably muffed a punt return into the waiting arms of an Arizona defender.

This unfortunately did not seal the game as it became apparent that the coaching staff was going to trust the game winning play to their shaky kicker, Zendejas (aka Double Ice). When the kick sailed inside the right upright Cats across the diaspora were all able to stop holding our collective breath and accept our bowl bid.

What a relief! It is amazing how a rivalry game can turn a mismatch into a nail-biter. In the first quarter the Cats looked like they were going to run away with it. They seemed to move the ball where ever they wanted and their defense, after giving up one bomb, was dominate (.

Then they missed a field goal. Failed to get a short first down. Started going 3 and out. And I started to get nervous. Why did we let them hang around for so long?

Jeremy and I were struck by all of the weird Stoops' timeouts throughout the games. Stoops' tendency to call timeouts before big plays is one of his most infuriating coaching "strategies." It always seems that he calls them and breaks the momentum of the offense or allows the opposing offense to collect itself and make a play. Not only that but using them in these situations takes them away from the team at the end of the game, when they are useful for clock management.

Last night I went through the box scores from all the meaningful games the Cats have played this year (excluding NAU and Central Michigan). Before the ASU game, Stoops had called 8 "motivational timeouts" before big plays (this excludes timeouts for clock management). On those plays the Cats had a positive result 6 of those 8 times. That is a lot higher percentage than I would have thought. Against ASU he called 4 "motivational timeouts" (Half as many as he had the whole year. You think maybe he was feeling the pressure) and had three negative results. So for the season so far he has called 12 "motivational timeouts" and has a record of 7-5. Better than I thought but still troubling.

This points out that he doesn't trust his leaders on the field and that he has a tendency to overthink big plays. It also takes away timeouts for the end of the game. Against ASU this nearly cost us, particularly on two plays; after the Cats came out of timeout and ran a dive play on 3rd down that got stuffed and when they came out of a timeout only to give up a touchdown pass. What were they talking about in those timeouts?

In basketball you can often judge the talents of a coach by observing the efficiency of his offense after a timeout. Ben Howland and Lute Olson have ridiculously high efficiency ratings coming out of timeouts. I don't know if this evaluation criteria should translate to the grid-iron but it is something to think about.

Perhaps as Foles matures Stoops will not be so eager to call these timeouts, we can only hope.

Tuesday, November 24, 2009

2009 Pac 10/Big 12 Hardwood Challenge


Last year the two conferences split the series 6-6 but I don't think the Pac-10 will bode as well this time. After watching the early games the Pac-10 looks as soft as it has in a decade. We get a preview of the challenge today as the Cats play Colorado in the Maui classic. The game is in the losers bracket after the Cats loss to Wisconsin. We are young and struggled against the more expierenced Badgers. On the upside Hill and Williams could be amazing in two years. I can't decide if they remind me of Elliot and Cook or Adams and Iguodala.

Here is the Challenge Schedule, I say the Pac-10 wins 2 games:

Sunday, November 29
Nebraska at USC

Thursday, December 3
Washington at Texas Tech
USC at Texas
Baylor at Arizona State

Friday, December 4
Colorado at Oregon State

Saturday, December 5
Oregon at Missouri
Iowa State at California
Washington State at Kansas State

Sunday, December 6
Kansas at UCLA
Arizona at Oklahoma

Wednesday, December 16
Oklahoma State at Stanford

Tuesday, December 22
Texas A&M at Washington

Monday, November 23, 2009

Bill Simmons on the Suns


This weekend I spent a lot of time recommending a book I have been reading by Bill Simmons called the The Big Book of Basketball. I read this passage last night and thought I would share it as proof of the book's awesome-ness...

Topic:
What if the Suns didn't screw up a potential Nash dynasty with some of the cheapest and most perplexing moves ever made?

I wanted to avoid playing the "What if the front office did this instead of this?" game because it's so subjective, but Phoenix's bipolar game plan from 2004-2008 had to be commemorated in some way. Here's a detailed look.

1. During the same summer they signed Nash, Phoenix traded the seventh pick in the 04 Draft (and a chance to take either Luol Deng or Andre Iguodala) to Chicago for 3 million and a 2006 number one. One week later, they signed Quentin Richardson to a six year, 42.6 million deal, even though they could have drafted Deng or Iguodala and paid either of them one-third what Richardson was getting. They kept Richardson for one year before swapping Q and their twenty-first pick (Nate Robinson) in the 05 draft to the Knicks for Kurt Thomas. Two summers later, they dumped Thomas on Seattle along with two number ones just to shed him off their cap for tax purposes. As astounding as this sounds, Bryan Colangelo's decision to sign Richardson instead of just drafting Deng or Iggie-which was dumb at the time, by the way-ended up costing them four first-round picks! Would you rather have Richardson, or would you rather have the number 7 pick in 04, the number 21 pick in 2005, and first rounders in 08 and 10? I thought so (Hold on, this gets better. Your 2005 NBA Exec of the year? That's right, Mr. Bryan Colangelo! I love the NBA.)

2. Phoenix low balled Joe Johnson so insultingly that he asked them not to match Atlanta's 70 million free agent offer, leading to Phoenix accepting Boris Diaw and two future first-rounders for him. So the Suns had just come within two wins of the 05 Finals and built a run-and-gun identity; suddenly they were dealing a twenty-four-year old potential All-Star, the perfect swing man for their system and a deadly shooter who could even play backup point guard, and they were only getting back a bench player and two future picks? Also, how could they botch the Johnson situation so badly that he asked to leave? With Nasth, Amare, Marion and Johnson, you're set for the rest of the decade. That's it. That's your core. That's your guarantee for 57-plus wins a year and a specific style that can work. Surround them with role players and veteran buyout guys and you're contending until Nash breaks down, and even then, you can just shift the offense over to Johnson as the main creator. How can you give that guy up? So what if he's insulted and doesn't want to come back? He'll get over it! You're paying him 14 million a year and he gets to play with Steve Nash!

3. Instead of picking Rajon Rondo with the 21st pick in 06 (the pick acquired from Chicago), they shipped the right to Boston for Cleveland's 2007 number 1 and 1.9million. A few weeks later, they gave Marcus Banks 24 million. Would you rather have a potential up-and-comer like Rondo for cheap money or a proven turd like Banks for five times as much? Tough call. If you just had a head injury....

4. They gave Diaw a five-year 45 million extension that summer, which meant that Diaw/Banks combo now earned as much money every year as Joe Johnson. Awesome.

5. So the Iggie/Deng/Rondo pick became number 24 in the 07 draft...and naturally, the Suns sold it to Portland for 3 million. Why didn't they just take Spanish star Rudy Fernandez? You can't play the luxury tax card because Fernandez wasn't planning on joining the NBA for at least a year; it would have been savvy if Phoenix had stashed him in Europe as an asset down the road. Instead, owner Sarver announced to his fans, "Screw you, I'd rather have the 3 million, I"m taking the cash." One year later, Fernandez would have been a top-ten pick after lighting up in Spain, he even gave the Redeem Team everything it could handle in the 08 Olympics. Can you quantify the damage there? (they downgraded from Deng to Iggie to Rondo to Fernandez to nothing..which means they traded a number 7 pick in a loaded draft for 4.9 million, less than they paid Banks to sit on their bench in 07. Well done!)

I hate delving into the Marty McFly Zone when many of the aforementioned screw ups were interrelated, but let's figure out how the Suns could have turned out if cheapskate owner Robert Sarver didn't sign off on the aforementioned bipolar game plan in 04. We know for sure that they could have had a six-man nucleus of Nash, Marion, Stoudemire, Johnson, Barbosa and Deng/Iggie from 04 to the present that shouldn't have been touched, and we know they dumped first rounders in 05, 06 and 08 for tax purposes. Even if they surrounded that nucleus with draft picks, minimum-wage vets and February buyout guys and did nothing else, wouldn't they have been positioned for the short term and long term better than any franchise in the latter half of this decade? The bigger question: why own an NBA team if you're going to cut costs? What's the point? Why would that be fun? So people could stare at you during dinner and whisper, "Hey, that's the cheap-ass who owns the Suns?" This pisses me off, what a wasted chance, and what a waste of Nash's prime.

(Note to Phoenix fans: You can now light yourselves on fire.)

Sunday, November 22, 2009

Losing Arizona Style


Watching an Arizona team in a big game is a heartbreaking experience. As Oregon made their game tying drive I kept reflecting on how similar this felt to the Cardinals v. Steelers Super Bowl.

Our coaching staff put us in the best position to win all night long. Masoli's first touchdown, he was covered by three wildcats who missed a tackle. Jeff Maehl's catches, he was consistently covered. Arizona's go ahead TD, caught the Ducks in a blitz and tricked them with a screen. I think we can say that we have a very talented coaching staff.

The real heartbreak comes when you think about all of the opportunities we had to win. We fumbled a ball on the 5 yard line, into the end zone through one of our player's legs. Zendejas missed a field goal from 24 yards out. Oregon made a field goal that bounced over the cross bar. We made Masoli fumble twice into an open field but were unable to recover. Wade had his hands on a perfectly intercept-able ball, dropped. Turner drops a TD and it gets intercepted. By my count we should have been up 24 points in the 4th quarter.

Each time one of these missed opportunities occurred it was a reminder of what it means to be an Arizona fan. Want proof, Greg Hansen points out that in 99 Arizona was 5-2 on the way to the Roses and Oregon came to town. We losed, 44-41. Last night, we lost 44-41.

This game will go on the list of Arizona disappointments next to the Super Bowl, the "Amare gets ejected" 2005 Suns Conference finals and the 2001 NCAA finals. It makes you really appreciate that 97 championship because of how rare they are for fans from the desert.

Does this loss crush the Cats spirit? Or do we rebound with two straight wins to finish out the season?